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Archive for August, 2008

Here’s an analysis of what happened to 900+ missing voters, as charged by PKR. (Sent by Cheah Kah Seng)

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[For all tables and data, please see:

http://malvu.blogspot.com/2008/08/were-900-voters-deleted-and-replaced-in.html ]
Were 900+ Voters Deleted and Replaced in Permatang Pauh?
The numbers are about right – 951 voters were deleted from Permatang Pauh and replaced by another 961 since the 12th GE. But the reasons were technical and not too sinister. Still, the whole confusing affair highlights the needs for SPR transparency and voter registration reform.

Our investigation did find that 951 voters were “deleted” after the 12 GE in Permatang Pauh, while another 961 voters were “added” to the by-election roll dated 2008 Jul.

But we also found that these changes were due to three not-too-cynical reasons and minor SPR mistakes:

1. The technicality of modifying police IC numbering scheme,
2. Regular voter registrations, inward and outward movements, and
3. SPR’s dead-voter deletion overdrive.

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It may come a a surprise that the election is not neccesarily finished yet: there are issues which need addressing. These issues if left unaddressed, will come back to haunt us in future elections. Some argue that since the results favour the disadvantaged Federal Opposition all is forgiven and forgotten. Well to quote the candidate Anwar: `I can forgive but not forget!’ So these are the post-election issues which had not left us post-election, and there could be explosive revelations if the truth are uncovered:

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ANFREL(Asian Network for Free and Fair Elections) and NIEI(National Institute for Electoral Integrity) released their report on the just concluded by-election in Permatang Pauh where they called for overhaul of the entire election system. Their findings have added new angles to the election observations organised by MAFREL eg on ways to avoid phantom voters; on need to stop campaigning on polling day; on abuse of government resources in party campaigning; on using children for campaigning; on the lack of openness to election observers; on the intimidating presence of security forces; the `lawlessness’ of the political parties; the bias media; incidents of violence; the tainted electoral roll etc.

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After the official announcement of Anwar Ibrahim’s victory, Najib was quoted saying “This is his political base and the results reflected that there was no manipulation involved” in the NST article (27/08) entitled Najib: Voters have spoken. As expected, this would be the rhetoric of the ruling coalition if Anwar wins a bigger majority compared to his wife, Wan Azizah, in the March 8 elections (13388). It was speculated also that if Anwar were to win by a smaller majority, the ruling coalition would’ve declared it a victory of sort. However, Najib’s statement that ‘there was no manipulation involved’ certainly contradicts the findings and reports submitted to MAFREL throughout the campaigning period. On the eve of polling day, MAFREL sounded the alarm “that the forces against free and fair elections will be expected to try their best to undermine the credibility of the election –together with the people’s choice, up to the last minute of polling and announcement of result.” The red alert was further reinforced yesterday with the arrest of 4 PKR members who stopped the buses alleged to be carrying phantom voters (instead of arresting the phantom voters), ‘dead voter’ turning up at the polling station, and missing names from the updated roll. Therefore, it would’ve been more accurate to say that the PKR candidate, Anwar Ibrahim, won with a bigger majority despite the manipulation and irregularities involved.

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Anwar won! (chart)

chart courtesy of malaysiakini.

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He is not dead!

A voter was found `dead’ by the SPR when he went to vote this morning. The mistake was said to be from the NRD-but the `dead’ voter prefered to make a police report at Seberang Jaya Police station. Such mistakes seems to constitute a pattern as voters across the 3 state constituencies were found to miss the vote after their name dissappear from the updated to July 31st roll. Most of them voted in the Mar 8th General Election.

The full list of voters who missed out will follow. MAFREL will look into the disturbing pattern that emerged from the keenly faught election.

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According to progressive declaration of results from Tuanku Bainun College -the vote accumulation centre for the Permatang Pauh by-election Anwar has won the election with only the extent of majority being uncertain. Anwar lead in almost all voting streams announced so far -except in a few locations in Seberang Jaya-the state constituency of his opponent -Arif Shah. Prediction of Anwar’s margin ranged from consevative 8000 votes to 24 000 votes. Voters turn out maintains at 81%, almost identical to the turn out at Mar 8th General Elections.

Official:

Hakim :92

PKR: 31 195

BN: 15 524

Majority: 15 671

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